House Democratic caucus says party ‘will regain majority in 2024’, reveals GOP seats it hopes to flip

After losing their majority in the House of Representatives, Democrats are already charting a course for 2024 and targeting several Republican-held districts that they will try to flip next cycle.

House Majority PAC (HMP) on Tuesday released a report, “After Defying the Odds, House Democrats Will Retake the Majority in 2024,” promoting the 2022 election cycle just two weeks after the Democrats lose their majority in the midterms.

“The House Majority PAC will be poised to take back the House in 2024, and Republicans should start planning to return the hammer,” wrote HMP, the committee focused on electing Democratic House candidates, in a note outlining plans for 2024, which was the first. reported by Axios.

Along with a look back at Democrats’ performance, the report named 19 red districts that will be heavily focused on in the next cycle, though HMP said the list was preliminary and would be expanded.

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Jen Kiggans won the race in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District, ousting Democratic Rep. Elaine Luria.
(Jen Kiggans Campaign for Congress)

One of the districts on the Democrats’ hit list is Virginia’s 2nd District, where Congresswoman-elect Jen Kiggans recently unseated Democrat Elaine Luria.

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Another target for Democrats is New York’s blue state 17th Congressional District, where Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney was defeated by Mike Lawler in November’s midterm elections.

Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Sean Patrick Maloney, DN.Y., lost his race for re-election in New York’s 17th Congressional District.
(Seth Wenig)

The Democratic Party spent hundreds of millions campaigning for abortion this cycle, pouring more into that issue than any other issue, including crime and the economy. The HMP claimed that “in the battle of the messages, the Democrats won”.

With inflation hitting a 40-year high of 9.1% in the summer before the election, HMP said that once Democrats began to shift their position on the economy, speaking on offense, the party see a noticeable increase in support.

After testing political messages in August, HMP said the winning framing of the political ads was to convey that “a Democrat cares about the economy while the Republican wants to ban abortion.”

The release also took aim at Congressional Leadership Fund (CLF) spending this cycle, claiming it spent about $150 million in losing races.

US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said she will not seek a leadership role in the next Congress.
(Anna Moneymaker)

House Democrats are seeing major changes within the party this month, first losing their majority and then Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., announcing her decision to step down as House leader.

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Republicans now hold 220 seats in the House, surpassing the 218 needed for a majority, while the Democratic Party has 212 seats. There are still three House races up for grabs two weeks after Election Day.

The list of GOP seats on the Democrats’ 2024 radar includes: AZ-01, AZ-06, CA-27, CA-40, CA-41, CA-45, IA-03, MI-10, NE-02 , NJ-07, NY-01, NY-03, NY-04, NY-17, NY-19, NY-22, OR-05, PA-01 and VA-02.